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Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Goffertstadion
FU

Nijmegen
3 - 0
Utrecht

Proper (31'), Mattsson (34'), Dost (52' pen.)
Verdonk (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jensen (44'), van der Maarel (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 4-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Utrecht
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-2 FC Utrecht

Under new management, Utrecht took a positive step with a fine win on the road last week, and they may do so again here with the changes Jans has come in and made. The hosts have shown no real consistency, already losing three of their opening five games, and that run could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFC Utrecht
47.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 62.44% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (0.033000000000001 0.03)38.51% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19% (0.032999999999994 0.03)60.81% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)46.57% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.04% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (0.021999999999998 0.02)59.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    NEC 47.13%
    FC Utrecht 29.83%
    Draw 23.03%
NECDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSV 4-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Nijmegen
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 26 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Nijmegen
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-4 Excelsior
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-1 Nijmegen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Utrecht
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, September 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, August 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Utrecht
Saturday, August 12 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Utrecht (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, June 4 at 5pm in Eredivisie


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