SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
49.98% ( -0.2) | 23.18% ( -0.12) | 26.84% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( 0.84) | 41.29% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% ( 0.85) | 63.69% ( -0.85) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( 0.24) | 16.68% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% ( 0.43) | 46.55% ( -0.43) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( 0.68) | 28.5% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% ( 0.84) | 64.27% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.53% Total : 26.84% |
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