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Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Feb 21, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 0
Guadalajara

Cambindo (28')
Oliveros (36'), Monreal (44'), Mendez (82'), Montes (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (25'), Chavez (39'), Perez (47')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, February 17 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawCD Guadalajara
26.8% (0.0019999999999989 0) 26.96% (0.0019999999999989 0) 46.24% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.96% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)77.86% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)36.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.63% (0.0040000000000049 0)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)24.61% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 26.8%
    CD Guadalajara 46.24%
    Draw 26.95%
NecaxaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 6.34%
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.5%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.8%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 46.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, February 10 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Necaxa
Saturday, February 3 at 11.06pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 2-2 Necaxa
Thursday, February 1 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-0 America
Sunday, January 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Necaxa
Saturday, January 20 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, February 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Forge
Wednesday, February 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Juarez
Saturday, February 10 at 11.05pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Forge 1-3 Guadalajara
Thursday, February 8 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-2 Guadalajara
Monday, February 5 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Toluca
Wednesday, January 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX


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