Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Monterrey
25.11% ( -0.47)	24.73% ( 0.13)	50.15% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 52.79% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.5% (

-0.93)

49.5% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.46% (

-0.85)

71.53% (

0.84)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78% (

-0.9)

34.22% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08% (

-0.97)

70.91% (

0.97)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-0.23)

19.75% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.21% (

-0.38)

51.78% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 25.11%

Monterrey 50.15%

Draw 24.72%

Necaxa	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.11%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 50.15%