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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 0
Pumas

Samudio (74')
Pena (31'), Montes (45+8'), Jurado (60'), Arce (67'), Rodriguez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Molina (13'), Ortiz (82')
Huerta (13')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico San Luis 4-0 Necaxa
Monday, October 23 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 0-1 Monterrey
Sunday, October 22 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawPumas
30.9% (0.581 0.58) 24.9% (0.24 0.24) 44.19% (-0.822 -0.82)
Both teams to score 56.49% (-0.51 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.38% (-0.806 -0.81)46.62% (0.80399999999999 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.11% (-0.758 -0.76)68.89% (0.75699999999999 0.76)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)28.38% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)64.12% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (-0.7 -0.7)21.14% (0.698 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-1.097 -1.1)53.98% (1.096 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 30.9%
    Pumas 44.19%
    Draw 24.9%
NecaxaDrawPumas
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.9%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 4-0 Necaxa
Monday, October 23 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Puebla
Monday, October 9 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
Thursday, October 5 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Necaxa
Sunday, October 1 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-5 Necaxa
Monday, September 25 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Juarez
Sunday, September 17 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 0-1 Monterrey
Sunday, October 22 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-4 Pumas
Sunday, October 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 4-0 Queretaro
Thursday, October 5 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-0 Pumas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.40am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-2 Pumas
Saturday, September 23 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 3-2 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, September 17 at 7pm in Liga MX


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