SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Germany |
37.02% ( 0.11) | 25.46% ( 0.01) | 37.52% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( -0.06) | 47.77% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( -0.06) | 69.96% ( 0.06) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( 0.03) | 25.22% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( 0.04) | 59.96% ( -0.04) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( -0.1) | 24.95% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( -0.14) | 59.59% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Netherlands | Draw | Germany |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.02% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.52% |
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