SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
34.71% ( -0.19) | 23.05% ( 0.04) | 42.24% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 64.66% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.26) | 36.54% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.31% ( -0.28) | 58.69% ( 0.28) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( -0.21) | 21.31% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% ( -0.33) | 54.25% ( 0.34) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% ( -0.04) | 17.83% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.43% ( -0.07) | 48.57% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 42.24% |
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