SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.88%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
56.88% ( 0.28) | 20.62% ( -0.05) | 22.51% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.5% ( -0.04) | 33.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.7% ( -0.05) | 55.3% ( 0.05) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.21% ( 0.07) | 11.79% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63% ( 0.14) | 37% ( -0.13) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( -0.21) | 27.62% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( -0.27) | 63.16% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.88% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.59% Total : 22.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
