SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
46.05% ( -0.04) | 23.19% ( 0) | 30.75% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.42% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.21% ( 0) | 38.79% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.9% ( 0) | 61.1% ( 0) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( -0.01) | 17.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.51% ( -0.03) | 47.49% ( 0.03) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( 0.03) | 24.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( 0.04) | 59.11% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 4.1% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.75% |
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