Western Utd
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Lacroix (16', 52')
Kilkenny (25'), Skotadis (62'), Topor-Stanley (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thurgate (81')
Hoffman (40'), Penha (49'), Boumal (74'), Thurgate (90+1')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
41.5%	25.92%	32.58%

Both teams to score 53.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.56%

50.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.63%

72.37%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93%

24.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65%

58.35%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83%

29.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89%

65.11%

Score Analysis

Western United 41.5%

Newcastle Jets 32.58%

Draw 25.91%

Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.5%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.58%