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AU
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 22, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
NJ

Adelaide United
3 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Ibusuki (14'), Clough (68' pen.), Halloran (70')
Irankunda (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vidic (89')
Ingham (9'), Stamatelopoulos (14')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Adelaide United
Friday, December 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, December 16 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
48.89% (0.432 0.43) 21.42% (-0.07 -0.07) 29.69% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 68.44% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.36% (0.133 0.13)30.63% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.04% (0.157 0.16)51.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.185 0.19)13.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.16% (0.372 0.37)39.84% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-0.137 -0.14)21.19% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)54.07% (0.216 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 48.89%
    Newcastle Jets 29.69%
    Draw 21.42%
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.037 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.67% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 48.89%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Adelaide United
Friday, December 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, December 10 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 4-3 Adelaide United
Monday, December 4 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Adelaide United
Sunday, November 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-5 Sydney FC
Saturday, November 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, December 16 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-3 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 9 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Melbourne City
Sunday, December 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 25 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 11 at 4.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Western Sydney
Sunday, November 5 at 4am in Australian A-League


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