SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | West Ham United |
56.72% ( 0.11) | 21.13% ( -0.04) | 22.15% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.41% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.1) | 36.45% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.41% ( 0.11) | 58.59% ( -0.11) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( 0.07) | 12.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.92% ( 0.14) | 39.08% ( -0.14) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0) | 29.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -0) | 65.62% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 22.15% |
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