SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Newcastle United |
41.49% ( 0.46) | 27.31% ( 0.23) | 31.2% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.63% ( -1.06) | 56.36% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( -0.87) | 77.39% ( 0.87) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -0.24) | 26.76% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -0.33) | 62.04% ( 0.32) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -1.04) | 33.12% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( -1.16) | 69.72% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.48% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.2% |
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