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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St James' Park
WH

Newcastle
1 - 1
West Ham

Wilson (3')
Willock (45'), Joelinton (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Paqueta (32')
Moyes (46'), Aguerd (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWest Ham United
52.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.5% (0.02 0.02) 21.51% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.26% (-0.067 -0.07)55.74% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.12% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)76.88% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)21.07% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-0.064 -0.06)53.89% (0.064 0.06)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.94% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)41.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)77.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 52.98%
    West Ham United 21.51%
    Draw 25.5%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 13.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.98%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 21.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Southampton
Tuesday, January 31 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Newcastle
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Fulham
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Leicester
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Newcastle
Saturday, January 7 at 6pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Derby 0-2 West Ham
Monday, January 30 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Everton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 West Ham
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-1 West Ham
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Brentford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League


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