SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 43.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Belgrano |
43.88% ( -0.11) | 29.17% ( -0.02) | 26.95% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 41.93% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.79% ( 0.14) | 64.21% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.67% ( 0.1) | 83.34% ( -0.1) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% ( 0.01) | 29.21% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.84% ( 0.01) | 65.16% ( -0) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.2) | 40.77% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( 0.18) | 77.35% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.29% Total : 26.95% |
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