SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 2-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Estudiantes |
37.32% ( 0.09) | 30.6% ( 0.01) | 32.08% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 40.35% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.9% ( -0.04) | 67.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.66% ( -0.03) | 85.33% ( 0.02) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( 0.04) | 34.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% ( 0.04) | 71.34% ( -0.04) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( -0.1) | 38.28% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% ( -0.09) | 75.04% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 14.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.31% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.59% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 32.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
