SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Monaco |
35.56% ( -0.12) | 26.2% ( 0.02) | 38.24% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% ( -0.11) | 51.07% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% ( -0.1) | 72.93% ( 0.1) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( -0.13) | 27.62% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( -0.16) | 63.15% ( 0.17) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( 0.01) | 26.08% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% ( 0.01) | 61.13% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.56% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.24% |
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