After such a solid start to the campaign, Nice are struggling to handle the pressure of being near the top of the table, and although they have been sharp defensively at home, Lens are in great form, and we believe they will be able to earn a point on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
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