SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
18.58% ( -0.53) | 23.83% ( -0.25) | 57.58% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 46.93% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.08% ( 0.25) | 52.92% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( 0.21) | 74.52% ( -0.21) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.36% ( -0.46) | 42.63% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% ( -0.4) | 78.98% ( 0.39) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( 0.38) | 18.18% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.82% ( 0.64) | 49.17% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.58% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 11.26% ( 0.17)1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.57% |
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