Norway and Slovenia both possess significant firepower on their sides, with the likes of Sorloth, Haaland and Sesko all expected to start on Thursday. With that in mind, we think that the contest should produce goals, but we also believe that the two teams may have to settle for a draw in a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Norway	Draw	Slovenia
61.29% ( 0.43)	23.19% ( 0.05)	15.52% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 43.07% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.04% (

-0.93)

54.96% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

-0.77)

76.23% (

0.78)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.42% (

-0.18)

17.58% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.86% (

-0.32)

48.14% (

0.32)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.26% (

-1.22)

47.74% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.96% (

-0.92)

83.04% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Norway 61.29%

Slovenia 15.52%

Draw 23.18%

Norway	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 14.59% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 61.29%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.54% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.52%