SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Coventry City |
45.93% ( 1.3) | 24.49% ( -0.27) | 29.59% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( 0.7) | 45.42% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( 0.67) | 67.75% ( -0.66) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 0.85) | 19.88% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% ( 1.36) | 52% ( -1.35) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -0.34) | 28.67% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( -0.43) | 64.48% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.59% |
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