SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Norwich City |
48.74% ( 0.07) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 26.05% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% ( 0.05) | 50.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( 0.04) | 72.62% ( -0.04) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.05) | 20.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.5% ( 0.08) | 53.5% ( -0.08) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( -0.02) | 34.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( -0.02) | 70.79% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.74% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 26.05% |
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