SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Norwich City |
45.82% ( 0.52) | 25.28% ( -0.02) | 28.91% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 54.1% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.2) | 49.22% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.18) | 71.28% ( 0.18) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( 0.15) | 21.49% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.47% ( 0.23) | 54.53% ( -0.23) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( -0.47) | 31.09% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.59% ( -0.55) | 67.41% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.91% |
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