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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Norwich City |
35.57% ( 1.27) | 24.75% ( 0.09) | 39.67% ( -1.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.19) | 44.62% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( -0.19) | 66.99% ( 0.19) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 0.63) | 24.57% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% ( 0.88) | 59.06% ( -0.88) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( -0.75) | 22.42% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( -1.12) | 55.94% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.67% |
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