SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Leeds United |
25.38% ( 0.07) | 22.65% ( 0.22) | 51.97% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.89% ( -0.96) | 40.11% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.52% ( -1) | 62.48% ( 1) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( -0.46) | 28.97% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% ( -0.57) | 64.87% ( 0.57) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( -0.44) | 15.55% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.52% ( -0.83) | 44.48% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.75% Total : 51.97% |
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