SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
31.53% ( 1.09) | 24.18% ( -0.01) | 44.28% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( 0.52) | 43.08% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( 0.51) | 65.48% ( -0.51) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( 0.95) | 26.23% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( 1.26) | 61.33% ( -1.26) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( -0.25) | 19.64% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% ( -0.41) | 51.6% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.53% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.1% Total : 44.28% |
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