Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.06) 
