SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | SC Paderborn |
37.46% ( -0.81) | 24.17% ( -0.15) | 38.36% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( 0.73) | 41.69% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( 0.73) | 64.1% ( -0.74) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.08) | 22.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( -0.12) | 55.66% ( 0.12) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( 0.81) | 21.78% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.02% ( 1.22) | 54.97% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.36% |
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