SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Fenerbahce |
41.84% ( 0.04) | 25.22% ( 0.02) | 32.94% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( -0.11) | 47.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( -0.1) | 69.5% ( 0.1) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( -0.02) | 22.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( -0.04) | 56.08% ( 0.04) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( -0.09) | 27.39% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% ( -0.11) | 62.86% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.94% |
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