SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
51.73% ( -0.01) | 24.68% ( 0.02) | 23.59% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( -0.06) | 50.63% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( -0.06) | 72.54% ( 0.06) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.03) | 19.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% ( -0.05) | 51.47% ( 0.05) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.82% ( -0.04) | 36.18% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.04% ( -0.04) | 72.96% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.73% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.59% |
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