SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orenburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
58.23% ( 0.21) | 21.89% ( -0.03) | 19.88% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.11) | 43.09% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( -0.11) | 65.49% ( 0.12) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.5% ( 0.03) | 14.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.49% ( 0.06) | 42.51% ( -0.05) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% ( -0.25) | 35.51% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.73% ( -0.26) | 72.27% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 58.23% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.89% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.88% |
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