Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Orenburg |
35.55% (![]() | 26.72% (![]() | 37.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.74% (![]() | 53.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.18% (![]() | 74.81% (![]() |
Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% (![]() | 28.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% (![]() | 64.5% (![]() |
Orenburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.61% (![]() | 27.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.14% (![]() | 62.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Orenburg |
1-0 @ 9.81% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 12.7% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 10.17% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.73% |
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