Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 2-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
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