SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | De Graafschap |
41.38% ( 0.09) | 24.25% ( 0.02) | 34.36% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.07% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.49% ( -0.13) | 42.5% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.09% ( -0.13) | 64.91% ( 0.14) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0.02) | 20.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( -0.02) | 53.28% ( 0.03) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( -0.12) | 24.26% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( -0.17) | 58.63% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.36% |
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