SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | NAC Breda |
46.46% ( 0.15) | 24.2% ( -0.05) | 29.33% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( 0.16) | 44.27% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( 0.16) | 66.65% ( -0.16) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( 0.12) | 19.2% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( 0.21) | 50.88% ( -0.21) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.01) | 28.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( 0.02) | 63.98% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.33% |
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