Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	NAC Breda
46.46% ( 0.15)	24.2% ( -0.05)	29.33% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 57.96% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

0.16)

44.27% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

0.16)

66.65% (

-0.16)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

0.12)

19.2% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

0.21)

50.88% (

-0.21)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

0.01)

28.26% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02% (

0.02)

63.98% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 46.46%

NAC Breda 29.33%

Draw 24.2%

De Graafschap	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.46%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.33%