SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Oulu win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Haka |
32.33% ( -0.01) | 23.94% ( 0) | 43.72% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( -0.02) | 41.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% ( -0.02) | 64.05% ( 0.01) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.01) | 25.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( -0.02) | 59.72% ( 0.01) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( -0.01) | 19.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( -0.01) | 51.04% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.33% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 43.72% |
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