SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oulu in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
38.8% ( 0.02) | 25.78% ( 0) | 35.41% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( -0.01) | 49.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( -0.01) | 71.33% ( 0.01) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0) | 24.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( 0.01) | 59.58% ( -0.01) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -0.02) | 26.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( -0.02) | 62.15% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.41% |
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