Oxford have netted just six goals in their last eight games at the Kassam Stadium, and Cheltenham have lost seven of their 10 road matches in 2023.
Neither side can be backed for success on Tuesday night, making a stalemate likely.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
0.42) 
-0.43) 
