SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Swansea City |
34.92% ( -0.4) | 26.09% ( -0.02) | 38.99% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% ( 0.05) | 50.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( 0.05) | 72.58% ( -0.05) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0.22) | 27.82% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( -0.28) | 63.41% ( 0.27) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.25) | 25.49% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( 0.34) | 60.32% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.99% |
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