Considering the poor form of Derby on the road in the Championship, it would not be surprising if they struggled for large periods on Tuesday. However, Oxford have found it difficult to pick up wins recently, and the game could be low scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Derby County
34.61% ( -0)	26.72%	38.67% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66% (

-0)

53.33% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12% (

-0)

74.88% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

-0)

29.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

-0)

65.27% (

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1%

26.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.79%

62.21%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 34.61%

Derby County 38.66%

Draw 26.71%

Oxford United	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.66%