SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.36%) and 0-1 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Pakistan win it was 1-0 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jordan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pakistan | Draw | Jordan |
8.76% ( 0.11) | 15.33% ( 0.08) | 75.91% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.99% ( -0.01) | 38.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.72% ( -0.02) | 60.28% ( 0.02) |
| Pakistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.29% ( 0.24) | 48.71% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.26% ( 0.17) | 83.75% ( -0.17) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( -0.04) | 8.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.85% ( -0.12) | 29.16% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pakistan | Draw | Jordan |
| 1-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.76% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 15.33% | 0-2 @ 12.54% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 10.36% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.46% ( 0)0-4 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 75.9% |
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