SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tajikistan | Draw | Jordan |
38.37% ( 0.67) | 26.75% ( -0.04) | 34.89% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.57% ( 0.12) | 53.43% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( 0.1) | 74.96% ( -0.1) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( 0.44) | 27.1% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( 0.57) | 62.49% ( -0.57) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( -0.33) | 29.17% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( -0.4) | 65.11% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tajikistan | Draw | Jordan |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.89% |
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