SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palestino | Draw | Club Nacional |
56.96% ( 0.49) | 23.59% ( 0.02) | 19.45% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( -0.71) | 50.84% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( -0.63) | 72.72% ( 0.63) |
| Palestino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( -0.08) | 17.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.75% ( -0.14) | 48.25% ( 0.14) |
| Club Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( -0.96) | 40.45% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( -0.88) | 77.06% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestino | Draw | Club Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 56.95% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.13% Total : 19.45% |
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