Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
-1.9) 
0.01) 
