Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 75.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 7.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.03%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.13) 
