Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.03) 
