SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Empoli |
49.4% ( 2.67) | 24.54% ( 0.23) | 26.05% ( -2.9) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( -3.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.01% ( -3) | 47.99% ( 3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.84% ( -2.82) | 70.16% ( 2.82) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( -0.09) | 19.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.69% ( -0.15) | 51.31% ( 0.15) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( -3.75) | 32.64% ( 3.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.82% ( -4.42) | 69.18% ( 4.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 1.2) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.97)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.52)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.4% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.76)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.48)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.56)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.5)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.3)Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.05% |
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