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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
UL

Parma
2 - 3
Udinese

Del Prato (2'), Bonny (43')
Keita (62')
Keita (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lucca (49'), Thauvin (68', 77')
Gianetti (38'), Ehizibue (84'), Davis (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Como
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Parma 2-1 Udinese

Only Torino have faced more shots than either Parma or Udinese in Serie A this season, so it may be a pleasing spectacle for the neutral at Stadio Tardini. The Gialloblu were very unfortunate to lose last time out, and they can join their visitors on seven points by edging to victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawUdinese
40.22% (4.911 4.91) 27.29% (1.428 1.43) 32.49% (-6.336 -6.34)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-5.15 -5.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (-6.302 -6.3)55.97% (6.307 6.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (-5.382 -5.38)77.07% (5.387 5.39)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.164 -0.16)27.26% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (-0.218 -0.22)62.7% (0.222 0.22)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (-6.907 -6.91)32.02% (6.911 6.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (-8.673 -8.67)68.49% (8.677 8.68)
Score Analysis
    Parma 40.22%
    Udinese 32.49%
    Draw 27.29%
ParmaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.34% (2.456 2.46)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.38 0.38)
2-0 @ 7.37% (1.571 1.57)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.669 0.67)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.34 -0.34)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.65 0.65)
0-0 @ 8.73% (1.926 1.93)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.759 -0.76)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.54 0.54)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-1.126 -1.13)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.835 -0.84)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-1.114 -1.11)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.843 -0.84)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.736 -0.74)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Palermo
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Parma 4-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Parma
Wednesday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Como
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, August 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 4-0 Avellino
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Aris Limassol
Wednesday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3


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