SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Parma |
61% ( 2.5) | 21.08% ( -1.1) | 17.91% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.53% ( 2.72) | 42.47% ( -2.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.12% ( 2.66) | 64.88% ( -2.66) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.55% ( 1.68) | 13.45% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.56% ( 3.26) | 40.44% ( -3.26) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( 0.05) | 37.27% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( 0.05) | 74.05% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Parma |
| 2-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.61)2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.41)4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.39)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.23)Other @ 3.15% Total : 60.99% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.58) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.63)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
