SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Parma |
43.8% ( -2.04) | 25.88% ( 0.04) | 30.32% ( 2) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( 1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( 0.83) | 51.06% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 0.72) | 72.91% ( -0.72) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( -0.6) | 23.2% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( -0.89) | 57.1% ( 0.89) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( 1.9) | 31.02% ( -1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( 2.17) | 67.33% ( -2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.55)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.32% |
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